Thursday 17 June 2021

2014 Elections: Latest Poll Indicates Second Round Vote Likely

Graphic: La Nacion
Graphic: La Nacion

How can polls be so far off from each other? It was only a couple of days ago that a CID-Gallup poll for Repretel placed Johnny Araya of the Partio Liberación Nacional (PLN) on top with 39% of the decided vote, José Maria Villalta of the Frente Amplio in second with 26% and Otto Guevara of the Movimiento Libertario in third with 18%.

Today, a Unimer poll for the La Nacion paints a complete different story. Villata is on top with 22.2% voter support, Araya with 20.3% and Guevara with 20.2%.

- Advertisement -

The CID-Gallup poll was taken between January 8 and 13 with a 3.2% margin of error.The Unimer between January 6 and 12 and with a 2.2% margin of error.

With 17 days to go before voting day on February 2, it is seeming remote that any one of the top three candidates will get the required 40% of the vote, requiring a run-off vote in April between the two with the highest nummber of votes.

What we learn from the polls are three things. One, they are unreliable. Two, the candidate with the greatest advantage is Guevara. And three, Araya has suffered great losses since September when he rode the waves with more than 40% of support in the polls before the start of the election process.

While Villalta and Araya alternate being on top, Guevara, while maintaining steady in third spot, is gaining ground and could realistically be the swing vote to a run off. And could even be in the second round vote is voter support continues to grow.

- Advertisement -

As to the other candidates in this race, the Unimer poll places Luis Guillermo Solís, of the Partido Acción Ciudadana (PAC), with 5.5%; and Rodolfo Piza, of the Unidad Social Cristiana (PUSC), with 3.6%. The other eight candidates have a combined support of 5.8%.

Unimer says it interviewed 2.469 people across the country. Of those 1.940 were identified as probably voters.

La Nacion offers up some nice graphic charts of the Unimer poll.

- Advertisement -

We strive for accuracy in its reports. But if you see something that doesn’t look right, send us an email. The Q reviews and updates its content regularly to ensure it’s accuracy.

"Rico" is the crazy mind behind the Q media websites, a series of online magazines where everything is Q! In these times of new normal, stay at home. Stay safe. Stay healthy.

Related Articles

Informants assisted OIJ in corruption investigations, says the minister

QCOSTARICA - The investigation into alleged bribery of public officials in...


Today’s Vehicle Restriction June 17: 7 & 8 CANNOT circulate

Today, Thursday, June 17, vehicles with plates ending 7 & 8 CANNOT circulate The measure is countrywide and applied between 5:00 am and 9:00 pm,...

Apple extended the life of its older iPhones

QTECH - Whether due to the global economic crisis caused by the Covid-19 pandemic or due to shortages of electronic components, raw materials, factory...

On Monday the vehicle restriction will change, again

QCOSTARICA - In times of pandemic, things change constantly, especially when it is necessary to tighten the belt to reduce the contagion of covid-19. The...

COVID vaccines in the workplace: Can I ask who got their shots?

(DW) Jon works for the local government in the US state of Virginia. The 40-year-old received both his COVID shots in April. Most of...

Vaccination commission endorses J & J vaccine, says no to Sinovac

QCOSTARICA - The Comisión Nacional de Vacunación y Epidemiología (CNVE)  - National Vaccination and Epidemiology Commission - endorsed the use of Johnson and Johnson...

Today’s Vehicle Restriction June 16: 5 & 6 CANNOT circulate

Today, Wednesday, June 16, vehicles with plates ending 5 & 6 CANNOT circulate The measure is countrywide and applied between 5:00 am and 9:00 pm,...

Today’s Vehicle Restriction: June 12, “ODDS”

Today, Saturday, June 12, only ODDS can circulate. The measure is countrywide and applied between 5:00 am and 9:00 pm, save for those under the...

Tourism’s path to recovery

QREPORTS - A new travel trends research paper released today by Tripadvisor®, the world's largest travel guidance platform, reveals that vaccine rollouts globally are...

Immigration system failure affected passengers at the San Jose airport Monday

QCOSTARICA -  In yet another system-wide failure in the immigration check-out, passengers looking to leave Costa Rica Monday morning by way of the Juan...


Get our daily newsletter with the latest posts directly in your mailbox. Click on the subscribe and fill out the form. It's that simple!

Log In

Forgot password?

Forgot password?

Enter your account data and we will send you a link to reset your password.

Your password reset link appears to be invalid or expired.

Log in

Privacy Policy

Add to Collection

No Collections

Here you'll find all collections you've created before.